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my next guest says the fiscal cliff is simply y2k fear. joining me now is a chief investment officer. we have had other people talk about it similar to y2k. why do you feel that it is not something to worry about right now, from an investor standpoint. >> first, i think the deal is already settled in was settled a while back. everyone who has negotiated knows that is what goes on. from an investor point of view, i think you will find that the tax rates don't go crazy like everyone thinks. the dividend taxes, for example, you will have 23.5%. all of these captains of industries, what happens when it turned and looked around and say it really was not such a big thing. what will they do? will they go away from dividends and not have anything that has interest. liz: even with a potentially higher tax rate, you are still getting more than 1.6% or 1.7%. >> exactly. look at how many times in history we have had higher dividend taxes. the rate will hit around 20%. it could go as high as 36 or 39%. with that said, 200 companies, roughly, are accele
my next guest says the fiscal cliff is simply y2k fear. joining me now is a chief investment officer. we have had other people talk about it similar to y2k. why do you feel that it is not something to worry about right now, from an investor standpoint. >> first, i think the deal is already settled in was settled a while back. everyone who has negotiated knows that is what goes on. from an investor point of view, i think you will find that the tax rates don't go crazy like everyone thinks....
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. >> fiscal cliff. >> fiscal cliff. >> fiscal cliff. >> fiscal cliff. >> but why doesn't the market care? let's find out right now. >>> live from the nasdaq market site in new york city's time square, i'm melissa lee. here are tonight's top three trades. solving the apple mystery. want to know what's behind apple's troubles this week? we here at "fast" have gotten to the bottom of the selloff. we'll tell you what it means. plus, freeport fizzles. the fine print on why the company's two big buys are raising big red flags. >>> and nat gas revolution, the government says exporting nat gas could be a game changer for america's economy, but at what cost? we'll take a deeper dive to find some answers. but first, our top story tonight. >>> everyone cares about the fiscal cliff, except, seemingly, the markets. just 25 days until the year end deadline and still no deal out of washington. still stocks quietly climb higher. the dow closing today at a one-month high. what gives? just an assumption that a deal -- >> it almost gets back to that you never short. we're all waiting for some type of closu
. >> fiscal cliff. >> fiscal cliff. >> fiscal cliff. >> fiscal cliff. >> but why doesn't the market care? let's find out right now. >>> live from the nasdaq market site in new york city's time square, i'm melissa lee. here are tonight's top three trades. solving the apple mystery. want to know what's behind apple's troubles this week? we here at "fast" have gotten to the bottom of the selloff. we'll tell you what it means. plus, freeport fizzles....
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>>> and could the fiscal spliff save us from the fiscal cliff. why the big money in marijuana could be the perfect solution to all of our problems. [ male announcer ] how do you trade? with scottrader streaming quotes, any way you want. fully customize it for your trading process -- from thought to trade, on every screen. and all in real time. which makes it just like having your own trading floor, right at your fingertips. [ rodger ] at scottrade, seven dollar trades are just the start. try our easy-to-use scottrader streaming quotes. it's another reason more investors are saying... [ all ] i'm with scottrade. >> as always, we have a lot of competition out there. but with our focus on making the very best products, many times we find ourselves in a league by ourselves. >>> as tim cook singles out his competition by name, by tech horse should be you back if you had to pick just one of these stocks -- google, microsoft or apple? joining us now, the analyst an evercore partners and an analyst at barclays capital. ron, to you first. which one is it.
>>> and could the fiscal spliff save us from the fiscal cliff. why the big money in marijuana could be the perfect solution to all of our problems. [ male announcer ] how do you trade? with scottrader streaming quotes, any way you want. fully customize it for your trading process -- from thought to trade, on every screen. and all in real time. which makes it just like having your own trading floor, right at your fingertips. [ rodger ] at scottrade, seven dollar trades are just the...
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let me play it. >> if there is no agreement, then the fiscal cliff has to be dealt with. i didn't see it if they decent this, we do that. i saw it as a statement of fact. it's not a threat. it's a prediction. if there's no agreement, we go over the cliff. let's hope we can have an agreement. >> what do you make of the way she put it? it's not a threat. she said, listen, these are the facts. >> nice little economy you have there. nice little economy you have there. it would be a shame it if anything happened to it. that's not a threat. look, we have to start looking at what happens if we do, in fact, go over the so-called cliff, and what happens is, you know, one thing is we take a huge bite out of the deficit. we do it in a crude may, and there would be immediate attempts to fix it and fine-tune it and take some back. some would probably get through. if you actually want to look at it from a policy standpoint, it may not be the worst possible option to just go over the cliff and then put back in the tax cuts and the spending increases or renewals that you'd like to put ba
let me play it. >> if there is no agreement, then the fiscal cliff has to be dealt with. i didn't see it if they decent this, we do that. i saw it as a statement of fact. it's not a threat. it's a prediction. if there's no agreement, we go over the cliff. let's hope we can have an agreement. >> what do you make of the way she put it? it's not a threat. she said, listen, these are the facts. >> nice little economy you have there. nice little economy you have there. it would be...
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geithner and the fiscal cliff. is he pushing us closer to or farther from the fiscal cliff. and doubling down on dividends. we've got an out of the box ets flight that can get you in on the pay day windfall that's taking shareholders by storm. plus, linked-in gets original. the executive editor will reveal why the company's move into original content could be a game changer. we'll get to those trades in a minute. let's get to the top story right away. apple misses the rally. the dow closed at a one month high but the trouble continues for apple posting its worst day in nearly four years. the stock falling back into bear market territory weighing on the nasdaq throughout the entire session in terms of price action, terrible. pretty heavy volumes closing two pennies off the low of the session deep. >> it was terrible. i'm trying to be measured here because i understand how -- >> you don't want to insult apple. >> that's not what we're attempt to go do. we're trying to help them. last night to a person we thought it would go lower. we didn't do that to hurt people, we did it be
geithner and the fiscal cliff. is he pushing us closer to or farther from the fiscal cliff. and doubling down on dividends. we've got an out of the box ets flight that can get you in on the pay day windfall that's taking shareholders by storm. plus, linked-in gets original. the executive editor will reveal why the company's move into original content could be a game changer. we'll get to those trades in a minute. let's get to the top story right away. apple misses the rally. the dow closed at a...
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it is because of the fiscal cliff, not because of the fiscal cliff, the fiscal clip could be play no role in this whatsoever. move on. fory's 30 mortgage rate rising to 3.34% and senator jim demint beating the senate to lead the heritage foundation. back in a moment. i ed to rethink the core of my portfolio. what i really need is sleep. introducing the ishares core, building blocks for the heart of your portfolio. find out why 9 out of 10 large professional investors choose ishares for their etfs. ishares bylackrock. call 1-800-ishes for a prosctus which includes investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. read and consider it carefully before investing. risk includes possible loss of principal. every human being is unique. and there is one store that recognizes it. the sleep nuer store. the only place in the world you'll find the extraordinarily comfortable sleep number experience. an exclusive collection of innovations that totally individualize your sleep. perfectly comfortable pillows that adjust to your size and shape. temperature-balancing bedding. dual warmth comforter
it is because of the fiscal cliff, not because of the fiscal cliff, the fiscal clip could be play no role in this whatsoever. move on. fory's 30 mortgage rate rising to 3.34% and senator jim demint beating the senate to lead the heritage foundation. back in a moment. i ed to rethink the core of my portfolio. what i really need is sleep. introducing the ishares core, building blocks for the heart of your portfolio. find out why 9 out of 10 large professional investors choose ishares for their...
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what we asked about the fiscal cliff. the first thing we wanted to establish is do people know about this thing? we looked at some of the other times we've asked this. what we'll see right here is other situations where they knew it, where other main stories that were out there. for example, the trayvon martin shooting. 91% of americans knew about that. occupy wall street, 80%. going forward what you have here, facebook, 72%. all the way down to 70%. you can look at this a couple ways. here's the greek financial crisis. 30% of the public not really paying attention to. inside that 70% number, 36% have know a lot about it. we'll compare with other stuff we asked last time about when they had a debt -- big deficit debate. we find first, 17% back in november thought congress and the administration could come to a deal. now 44% say it is unlikely. current results -- 48%. put those two blue columns together. 48% to 44% is that a solution is likely. let's come over on this side and look at who believes that it is likely. when y
what we asked about the fiscal cliff. the first thing we wanted to establish is do people know about this thing? we looked at some of the other times we've asked this. what we'll see right here is other situations where they knew it, where other main stories that were out there. for example, the trayvon martin shooting. 91% of americans knew about that. occupy wall street, 80%. going forward what you have here, facebook, 72%. all the way down to 70%. you can look at this a couple ways. here's...
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what impact is the fiscal cliff having? >> it's impacting the level of activity in the final quarter of 2012. we are seeing acceleration. if we look at volume and values of deals in october and november, we popped up 10%, 15% above the average after the previous nine months. so i think if you were contemplating the deal between september of this year and march of next, the likelihood is you'll try to pull it forward to try to take advantage of the capital gains tax certainlily. >> so if you're rushing through this year, there will be a lull in the first quarter. >> yeah. i agree. i think we will potentially see a lull in the first quarter. but on the assumption that we do get past the fiscal cliff with successful resolution, which i think we're all optimistic we will, i think fundamentals are strong. we have corporate balance sheets still strong. we have private equity with a lot of available cash. and general improvement in confidence. and i think with the certainty of -- the uncertainty of the presidential election behind
what impact is the fiscal cliff having? >> it's impacting the level of activity in the final quarter of 2012. we are seeing acceleration. if we look at volume and values of deals in october and november, we popped up 10%, 15% above the average after the previous nine months. so i think if you were contemplating the deal between september of this year and march of next, the likelihood is you'll try to pull it forward to try to take advantage of the capital gains tax certainlily. >>...
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the soap opera we call the fiscal cliff. before we get to our chief washington john harwood and the president is meeting with another grouch ceos, i need to start with eamon javers on capitol hill where lawmakers are skipping down early for a long weekend. eamon, wasn't thanksgiving just a couple weeks ago? >> it was. let me check michael ichaey cal. you see rank and file members of congress leaving the capitol. they are done for the week. they're headed back loam to their hometown districts. a lot of folks focused on this negotiation right now but the reality is that the negotiations are taking place among just a very few, very high level people. i was talking to a few rank and file members yesterday who said they were frustrated there is not a whole lot for them to do, they are just sitting around here waiting for some break-through in these negotiations. they want something to do on the floor, in their offices and there is not much for them to sink their teeth into. now they're going into their district. leadership is goi
the soap opera we call the fiscal cliff. before we get to our chief washington john harwood and the president is meeting with another grouch ceos, i need to start with eamon javers on capitol hill where lawmakers are skipping down early for a long weekend. eamon, wasn't thanksgiving just a couple weeks ago? >> it was. let me check michael ichaey cal. you see rank and file members of congress leaving the capitol. they are done for the week. they're headed back loam to their hometown...
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we do not want to go off the fiscal cliff. that's why we quickly responded to another proposal to the president. but the president refused to have a discussion. >> there's other reports that say republicans are looking for a fallback position, if he can't get the capps on deductions for more tax revenues and so forth. and it's going to be tax rates that the republicans might just vote present. some might vote present. some might vote aye and deal with the rates next year is. that just pure press speculation or is there anything to it? >> look, those are all press stories that are out there. we're trying to solve a problem. because if that came to fruition, that does nothing to solve the problem. and we just have an unbelievable amount of growth in government where we have to control the spending. if we want to truly save medicare and social security, we've got to do something about it. that's what republicans have been proposing all along. we want to solve a problem once and for all. and that's why we haven't waited -- it's in
we do not want to go off the fiscal cliff. that's why we quickly responded to another proposal to the president. but the president refused to have a discussion. >> there's other reports that say republicans are looking for a fallback position, if he can't get the capps on deductions for more tax revenues and so forth. and it's going to be tax rates that the republicans might just vote present. some might vote present. some might vote aye and deal with the rates next year is. that just...
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>> two words, fiscal cliff. we are absolutely frozen because we don't know what is going to happen come an end of the year and i'm afraid. we started to hear chatter about the government might just think this embolden them. the economy can handle as going over the cliff which is absolutely crazy but that is what we are starting to talk about down here. here we go again. that is why nothing is moving. stuart: merry christmas in chicago, we do appreciate it. see you again soon. major blow to unions in one of the biggest union state in the country. protests at the state capitol in michigan after the state legislator passed right to work laws. the governor says he is going to sign it putting michigan on track to become a right to work state. the unions absolutely furious. listen to this. [chanting] stuart: when you heard it before and heard it again. vincent the new geo of the center for public policy is in michigan. let me get things real straight here. if you have a right to work state, membership in the unionn be
>> two words, fiscal cliff. we are absolutely frozen because we don't know what is going to happen come an end of the year and i'm afraid. we started to hear chatter about the government might just think this embolden them. the economy can handle as going over the cliff which is absolutely crazy but that is what we are starting to talk about down here. here we go again. that is why nothing is moving. stuart: merry christmas in chicago, we do appreciate it. see you again soon. major blow...
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. >> i think the fiscal cliff ultimately will be rendered into a fiscal slow. between now and then the uncertainty is paralyzing ceo companies from big to small. you can see in the core capital goods orders which have basically fallen off in the last two quarters indicative of holding that business investment and hiring back which we think will change once we have some certainty brought into that equation. >> tom: finally housing which has shown remarkable stability in several markets but there's talk about limiting mortgage deductions with the fiscal cliff negotiations sometime next year. couldn't that impact the recovery? >> it could. obviously it might be relegated to more affluent households in terms on of the ability to do a deduction either in full or part. tend of the day there's a large household informq.rjz that's occur that's going to drive perspective homeowners into the market regardless. >> tom: let's get to the pic3sb here. you do like housing stocks with the home builders etf. what do you anticipate. they've had a nice run already. >> they've bee
. >> i think the fiscal cliff ultimately will be rendered into a fiscal slow. between now and then the uncertainty is paralyzing ceo companies from big to small. you can see in the core capital goods orders which have basically fallen off in the last two quarters indicative of holding that business investment and hiring back which we think will change once we have some certainty brought into that equation. >> tom: finally housing which has shown remarkable stability in several...
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. >>> back here at home, fiscal cliff negotiations in washington are still up in the air. most lawmakers have gone home for a long weekend break. this as timothy geithner says the obama administration is willing to go over the fiscal cliff. nbc's tracie potts joins us live from washington with an update. good morning to you. >> reporter: let's start with geithner. he told cnbc that instead of continuing tax breaks for the wealthy, the obama administration is willing to go over this cliff which means they're willing to let your taxes go up and unemployment checks go away massive spending cuts happen if the pentagon instead of continuing the tax breaks for the wealthy. now there's been very little progress here on chiapitol hill which is why so many have gone home. we know that president obama and john boehner spoke by phone. republican sources telling us they had a conversation yesterday. we don't have a readout on what that was about. we don't know that if any meetings have been scheduled. but any small sign of progress is welcome here on capitol hill. now with so many law
. >>> back here at home, fiscal cliff negotiations in washington are still up in the air. most lawmakers have gone home for a long weekend break. this as timothy geithner says the obama administration is willing to go over the fiscal cliff. nbc's tracie potts joins us live from washington with an update. good morning to you. >> reporter: let's start with geithner. he told cnbc that instead of continuing tax breaks for the wealthy, the obama administration is willing to go over...
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the risk of the fiscal cliff. i point out one thing though, on this weakness, if you believe japan in 2013 is going to be the sleeper equities market that some do, then you want to own tiffany. >> delta, simon? >> singapore airlines in their talk to sell virgin atlantic to delta. richard branson, don't do it. we'll be buying peanuts again in six months. >> southwestern energy getting a pop. >> stephanie brought this to my attention earlier. there is some chatter out there this could be a potential acquisition candidate. obviously, never a great thing to chase or a reason to buy a stock but maybe a good reason to do some research. it's about a $12 billion company can. little bit of chatter, little bit of a pop today. something worth keeping on your radar if you like energy stocks. >> and how about unicorns? they're getting a pop today. hold on. north korea says it's found a union core. the state run news agency says that kim jong-il shot is 11 holes in one in a single game of golf says the dwelling was once inhabit
the risk of the fiscal cliff. i point out one thing though, on this weakness, if you believe japan in 2013 is going to be the sleeper equities market that some do, then you want to own tiffany. >> delta, simon? >> singapore airlines in their talk to sell virgin atlantic to delta. richard branson, don't do it. we'll be buying peanuts again in six months. >> southwestern energy getting a pop. >> stephanie brought this to my attention earlier. there is some chatter out...
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analysts point to a decline in manufacturing, and ongoing worries over the fiscal cliff. >>> what some hoped would be a historic announcement on life on mars didn't amount today. project scientists said soil tests performed by the curiosity rover only showed organic compounds. no proof yet that life existed, or could exist on the red planet. the scientists created big expectations by saying it would be one for the history books. today they said they were only referring to the richness of the data coming from the rover. ♪ [ music ] of course. >>> live storm tracker 2 picking up showers north of us. these showers are going to work their way south. the computer model shows sprinkles picking up. i suspect we'll see drizzle perhaps along ocean beach tomorrow morning. for the commute on the golden gate bridge, i think you'll see wet roadway. as question bet into the 9:00, 10:00 hour, you'll see more of the same. i was talking about this on the 5:00 and 6:00 broadcast. this doesn't have a lot of moisture with it. as we get into the noon time hour, the clouds increased. we're going to see a
analysts point to a decline in manufacturing, and ongoing worries over the fiscal cliff. >>> what some hoped would be a historic announcement on life on mars didn't amount today. project scientists said soil tests performed by the curiosity rover only showed organic compounds. no proof yet that life existed, or could exist on the red planet. the scientists created big expectations by saying it would be one for the history books. today they said they were only referring to the richness...
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the fiscal cliff hits. the arguments i just pa about the withholding tables and cutting spending, are not generally talked about. a lot of people deny they can be done. we're confident they can. so the question then becomes what's the impact, where is the impact. and the impact is equity markets end of next week will say these guys aren't going to get it done, we won't have a deal january 1, everything falls apart, that's assuming of course we all get past december 21st. >> so basically week and counting before you think the equity market really drops significantly? >> if we do get a deal done do, we just maintain the 2% that we're stuck in with the high unemployment and not go down? or does it actually allow us to start growing again? is anybody talking growth? >> we're talking growth. >> is it possible to ever get back to that in this environment? >> it is. you have a lot of problems with the piece. >> do you briyou believe if you rote deficit -- two different ways. you either keep the government that you
the fiscal cliff hits. the arguments i just pa about the withholding tables and cutting spending, are not generally talked about. a lot of people deny they can be done. we're confident they can. so the question then becomes what's the impact, where is the impact. and the impact is equity markets end of next week will say these guys aren't going to get it done, we won't have a deal january 1, everything falls apart, that's assuming of course we all get past december 21st. >> so basically...
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we've got this negotiation for the fiscal cliff. if we go over the fiscal cliff, what is the impact to your business? >> well, there would be an impact on consumption, for sure. so when it comes to puma or mainstream brands in america in sports, there will be a for sure some consequences in terms of consumption. but i see that as an investment for the future. so it might be a little bit different from some of other ceos. we have to get over the fiscal cliff. let's not delay the thing. it needs efforts. let's make them short for a better future. i think we should be ready as a corporation, being ready for maybe a year of difficult market, difficult situation in the market because that is a ceiling on our growth in terms of economical growth as to be released. it's really me an investment for the future. >> you're seeing a similar situation in france where we're talking about the possibility of capital gains taxes and dividend taxes going much higher. what will that do to the investor class, to the entrepreneurialism that we're seeing
we've got this negotiation for the fiscal cliff. if we go over the fiscal cliff, what is the impact to your business? >> well, there would be an impact on consumption, for sure. so when it comes to puma or mainstream brands in america in sports, there will be a for sure some consequences in terms of consumption. but i see that as an investment for the future. so it might be a little bit different from some of other ceos. we have to get over the fiscal cliff. let's not delay the thing. it...
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the fiscal cliff talks not going anywhere yet. during the next two weeks we will start to see some positive remarks. one thing that is very interesting, heat and oil settled in a very weak position. those two coming off could take the energy complex down much further. right now only 85 to 85.10. cheryl: we have plenty of supply out there right now. we are in the middle of winter. >> we have a tremendous amount of supply. we do not have much cold weather coming up near term. once the fiscal cliff starts getting resolved, you will see some buying going on. cheryl: bobby, i want to go back to you about europe. we have not had a lot of problees. seems like the greeks are kind to getting things. >> the last few days, europe markets have been pretty strong. as you said, a sleeping giant. cheryl: i do not want to see anything change. it has been nice. gentlemen, thank you. i appreciate it. great floor show today. uncertainty seems to be the norm in washington these days. last year you have the debt ceiling convey. congress had trouble pu
the fiscal cliff talks not going anywhere yet. during the next two weeks we will start to see some positive remarks. one thing that is very interesting, heat and oil settled in a very weak position. those two coming off could take the energy complex down much further. right now only 85 to 85.10. cheryl: we have plenty of supply out there right now. we are in the middle of winter. >> we have a tremendous amount of supply. we do not have much cold weather coming up near term. once the...
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>> the major impact is looking at the fiscal cliff. any compromise close to that is going to give the market some upward swing. the gop is under extreme pressure since president obama is definitely going to be seeing a wealthy tax added to it. on the economic news, little light tomorrow with initial claims at about 390,000, but the big story is really friday as we look to the jobs report. we believe that the effect of the payroll will be at 50,000 range due to the effect of hurricane sandy which could put our unemployment up to an 8% rate. >> all right. we'll be watching that. thanks very much to you both. we appreciate it. of course we'll be looking at this market and whether or not it loses the steam come the big rally today. ticktock, ticktock on the fiscal cliff. my thoughts on the story from timothy geithner. guess what, folks. i think we're going over the cliff. back in a moment. are system spoke a language all its own with unitedhealthcare, i got help that fit my life. information on my phone. connection to doctors who get where
>> the major impact is looking at the fiscal cliff. any compromise close to that is going to give the market some upward swing. the gop is under extreme pressure since president obama is definitely going to be seeing a wealthy tax added to it. on the economic news, little light tomorrow with initial claims at about 390,000, but the big story is really friday as we look to the jobs report. we believe that the effect of the payroll will be at 50,000 range due to the effect of hurricane...
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it is the fiscal cliff. if we go over that, if all the tax cuts expire, if we have the sequester, if we don't extend payroll tax relief and unemployment benefits, we will end up at the end of 2013 with about over 3 million fewer jobs than we would have had otherwise. just imagine that. the fiscal cliff is going cost the economy in that order of magnitude, 3 million jobs. we should not, not, not go over that cliff. now -- >> by the same token, though, his point about -- and i don't want to make this about ed. the fact remains that the debt levels we have in this country in effect put a cap on growth right now. >> sure, sure, sure. i think that economists have been saying for years -- i have said repeatedly, economists on both sides of the aisle have said repeatedly what we need is a long-term plan for deficit reduction that begins to take effect when the economy is closer to its capacity. right now it's at least 6% below its capacity. the unemployment rate, 7.7, it should be like 5.7 at capacity. we should no
it is the fiscal cliff. if we go over that, if all the tax cuts expire, if we have the sequester, if we don't extend payroll tax relief and unemployment benefits, we will end up at the end of 2013 with about over 3 million fewer jobs than we would have had otherwise. just imagine that. the fiscal cliff is going cost the economy in that order of magnitude, 3 million jobs. we should not, not, not go over that cliff. now -- >> by the same token, though, his point about -- and i don't want to...
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a lot of projects on hold, though, fiscal cliff. yep, the obstacle is washington, all because of the need to sock it to the 2%, not the 1.5% and the over $400,000 crowd, the 1%, or the need to fulfill the anti-tax pledge of allegiance many of our congressmen made to my college chum grover norquist. i thought bill gates and chief justice roberts were powerful. he makes the other guys look like crash dummies. we're on the cusp of an economic boom in this country. but we have politicians that would rather create a recession, a mandated economic collapse, let's create a bear market versus rising above. and guess what? these enemies of wealth and job creation may get their way and win. yes, to borrow a phrase from my own rant last time we were on the brink of a washington-inspired financial disaster, they know nothing. shawn in illinois. shawn? >> caller: hello, jim. >> what's up, chief? >> caller: booyah from chicago land. >> done. speak to me. >> caller: i've been watching blizzard for some time now, and i just heard a report that thei
a lot of projects on hold, though, fiscal cliff. yep, the obstacle is washington, all because of the need to sock it to the 2%, not the 1.5% and the over $400,000 crowd, the 1%, or the need to fulfill the anti-tax pledge of allegiance many of our congressmen made to my college chum grover norquist. i thought bill gates and chief justice roberts were powerful. he makes the other guys look like crash dummies. we're on the cusp of an economic boom in this country. but we have politicians that...
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analysts point to a decline in manufacturing, and ongoing worries over the fiscal cliff. >>> what some hoped would be a historic announcement on life on mars didn't amount today. project scientists said soil tests performed by the curiosity rover only showed organic compounds. no proof yet that life existed, or could exist on the red planet. the scientists created big expectations by saying it would be one for the history books. today they said they were only referring to the richness of the data coming from the rover. ♪ [ music ] of course. >>> live storm tracker 2 picking up showers north of us. these showers are going to work their way south. the computer model shows sprinkles picking up. i suspect we'll see drizzle perhaps along ocean beach tomorrow morning. for the commute on the golden gate bridge, i think you'll see wet roadway. as question bet into the 9:00, 10:00 hour, you'll see more of the same. i was talking about this on the 5:00 and 6:00 broadcast. this doesn't have a lot of moisture with it. as we get into the noon time hour, the clouds increased. we're going to see a
analysts point to a decline in manufacturing, and ongoing worries over the fiscal cliff. >>> what some hoped would be a historic announcement on life on mars didn't amount today. project scientists said soil tests performed by the curiosity rover only showed organic compounds. no proof yet that life existed, or could exist on the red planet. the scientists created big expectations by saying it would be one for the history books. today they said they were only referring to the richness...
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and one of our viewers has a question for you about the fiscal cliff. you know all about the back and forth and drama about the fiscal cliff and delores wants your thoughts on where do you stand on this whole fiscal cliff, how will it play out. >> congress better get off its duff and do something. and i think that finally the pressure will be on us. but they always do it right to the last, you know, minute. but i think it's got to happen or they're going to be ousted from their hallowed political seats. >> tom: you could argue in the three years you've been away from the nbr anchor desk congress hasn't done a lot to address the fiscal situation. >> no it's just ridiculous. i mean these are our elected representatives and they have got to pay a little more attention to those that got them in the office. and they're arguing amongst themselves without much care about the people they represent. >> tom: a lot of those folks are retiree, we have a question from anita asking what is the investing or financial planning lesson paul use most during retirement? >>
and one of our viewers has a question for you about the fiscal cliff. you know all about the back and forth and drama about the fiscal cliff and delores wants your thoughts on where do you stand on this whole fiscal cliff, how will it play out. >> congress better get off its duff and do something. and i think that finally the pressure will be on us. but they always do it right to the last, you know, minute. but i think it's got to happen or they're going to be ousted from their hallowed...
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fiscal cliff, no hockey. what is wrong? come on, america. >> america. like $1 billion apart. >> wow. >> sad. much different labor issue cropped up outside a wal-mart in kansas city. mom to be, get it, labor. started feeling woozie while in the checkout line. she stepped outside for fresh air. that is when her water broke. >> oh, and game on after that. >> fortunately, off duty police officer, matt fell temperatuphe personal superhero with the help of the fire fighter and salvation army bell ringer they delivered her baby girl just eight minutes later. both mother and baby are doing just fine. >> eight minute delivery. >> eight minutes. jealous of that. hope she got the receipt for the baby highlighted as she left the door that. would be good. >> i go out. >> thank you. funnyman, bill murray in a very presidential movie role. >> living longer than you can possibly imagine, maybe even want, what the seniors of tomorrow can expect from the active elderly off to day. it's coming of on "world news now." ♪ forever young forever young ♪ ♪ forever young >
fiscal cliff, no hockey. what is wrong? come on, america. >> america. like $1 billion apart. >> wow. >> sad. much different labor issue cropped up outside a wal-mart in kansas city. mom to be, get it, labor. started feeling woozie while in the checkout line. she stepped outside for fresh air. that is when her water broke. >> oh, and game on after that. >> fortunately, off duty police officer, matt fell temperatuphe personal superhero with the help of the fire...
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fiscal cliff, obviously dominant on the scene. no major events, as i see them scheduled those there will be some of the joint committee in congress on thursday, talks about some of the outcomes, should we go over fiscal cliff. and then looking beyond that, really, it's really about the euro zone and keep an eye out. we have meetings going on wednesday, thursday, friday. >> got it. chad, what about you? >> bill and mandy, three things to watch for tomorrow. as your previous guest said, wholesale inventory number. you have to watch that, if you start to see a long-term trend where the companies are building inventories, that's something more ominous to the economy. the small business index coming out tomorrow. that, of course, should show a gradual increase in its pace. and the federal reserve is starting their meetings tomorrow, so, for wednesday, we're expecting an additional $40 billion every month of additional treasury purchases to take place on the operation twist. >> jennifer, 30 seconds. what do you see tomorrow? >> yeah, we
fiscal cliff, obviously dominant on the scene. no major events, as i see them scheduled those there will be some of the joint committee in congress on thursday, talks about some of the outcomes, should we go over fiscal cliff. and then looking beyond that, really, it's really about the euro zone and keep an eye out. we have meetings going on wednesday, thursday, friday. >> got it. chad, what about you? >> bill and mandy, three things to watch for tomorrow. as your previous guest...
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>> i contends the fiscal cliff will come to an agreement. it will be temporary in nature, kind of a year type of plan. i think the market has digested a bit that tax rates will go up. it's just a matter of how much spending are we going to cut to make this a market between the democrats and republicans. >> does monetary policy hurt or help the banks? keeping rates as low as they are, it's tough to make a buck the traditional way of lending and spending, right? >> i'm going to be a two-armed economist because i can't said on the other hand. there's two things that are very important. first of all, credit in commercial real estate is phenomenal. cap rates are really low. so the fact that rates are as low as they are has allowed commercial real estate not to fall into the abyss. if commercial real estate had to refi at high rates, we would have had another problem. the other problem is the fact margins are getting squeezed at these banks. credit quality is better. >> that's where the money comes from. >> yeah, fees. by the way, you can eat thes
>> i contends the fiscal cliff will come to an agreement. it will be temporary in nature, kind of a year type of plan. i think the market has digested a bit that tax rates will go up. it's just a matter of how much spending are we going to cut to make this a market between the democrats and republicans. >> does monetary policy hurt or help the banks? keeping rates as low as they are, it's tough to make a buck the traditional way of lending and spending, right? >> i'm going to...
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we've had no real progress to speak of on the fiscal cliff. the president did speak publicly about it today. but we haven't exactly taken any step backwards either on wall street as far as the major averages go. we have had more special dividends declared, which we'll get to. first, get you caught up on the markets. kind of a meandering day. a few economic bits of data out today. other than that, not a lot going on as far as economic data go. we're all just waiting to see that white puff of smoke come out of washington and nothing yet so far. the dow virtually unchanged right now at 12,966. the nasdaq is down seven points right now. we'll talk with seema mody about that. and the s&p 500 index at this hour is down 1.80 in change at 1407. in today's "closing bell" exchange, we go over what is going on as we head toward the end of the year. seema mody is at the nasdaq today. jeff, what do you make of what's going on in washington? i'm most interested in the fact that the markets have lost the volatili volatility. we're not seeing the markets resp
we've had no real progress to speak of on the fiscal cliff. the president did speak publicly about it today. but we haven't exactly taken any step backwards either on wall street as far as the major averages go. we have had more special dividends declared, which we'll get to. first, get you caught up on the markets. kind of a meandering day. a few economic bits of data out today. other than that, not a lot going on as far as economic data go. we're all just waiting to see that white puff of...
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worries about the fiscal cliff, is going to drive u.s. dollar higher. i think the ecb trichet is worrisome. of course you have to pair it against another currency, the australian dollar. the rba is cut about 175 basis points over the last year so australia is really kind of begging to be sold. technically speaking it's in this long-term consolidation i'm sure dennis is watching, fx traders like me are dying to sell this long-term consolidation up around the 1.05 level. i'd love to get short aussie in nfp. >> give me your level and we'll debt dennis' reaction. >> short at 1.0525 and put a stop off on 1.0625 and about 1.03 we can ring the register. >> denis? >> i've got the other side of trade, i'm long of the dollar against the japanese yen, it's been working and i'll continue to do it. if it takes out 1.0525. >> you must be bullish on stocks. >> i'm very bullish on the stock market absolutely. >> todd good to see you. for more trades watch "money in motion" tomorrow 5:30 p.m. eastern time. next up on "halftime" sell the winners and buy the losers, "hold
worries about the fiscal cliff, is going to drive u.s. dollar higher. i think the ecb trichet is worrisome. of course you have to pair it against another currency, the australian dollar. the rba is cut about 175 basis points over the last year so australia is really kind of begging to be sold. technically speaking it's in this long-term consolidation i'm sure dennis is watching, fx traders like me are dying to sell this long-term consolidation up around the 1.05 level. i'd love to get short...
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fiscal cliff and all of the other stuff. great story on the front page of wall street journal today talking about portfolio pumping. another example of investors thinking they're not getting a fair shake out of the stock market. >> larry, you call that complacency, don't you? >> that's right. i'm actually shocked that these investors appear to be asleep at the switch in light of the fiscal fiasco looming in less than a month. you would think investors saying their concerns would be running for the hills or at least buying portfolio protection to protect themselves against potential disaster. we see the vix very low. they're not taking the type of defensive, decisive action. if we get a downgrade and if this happens, it will be terrible for the market. that's what's potentially on the market, if we don't make a deal in washington. >> scott, let me ask you again how you want to allocate capital then in that environment. i know george young is with us again, joining the conversation. i want to ask you the same question. go ahea
fiscal cliff and all of the other stuff. great story on the front page of wall street journal today talking about portfolio pumping. another example of investors thinking they're not getting a fair shake out of the stock market. >> larry, you call that complacency, don't you? >> that's right. i'm actually shocked that these investors appear to be asleep at the switch in light of the fiscal fiasco looming in less than a month. you would think investors saying their concerns would be...
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businesses are looking ahead, and they're thinking with increased taxes, because of the fiscal cliff, if the worst happens, consumer demand is just going to fall off. they are already ting action today to try to prepare for that eventuality. but the consumer is kind of blankly ignoring this, and confidence is up for really lots of reasons. i mean, the net worth of households has been repaired. about two-thirds of it has come back as house prices rise and stock prices are now double what they were at the bottom in march of '09. when you look at state and local budgets, they're now much better with revenue rising. so theayof and budget cuts, we think are waning, if not over. housing is clearly coming back. things are improving and consumer confidence reflects that. >> tom: but there is that dark cloud of the fiscal cliff. you mentioned it earlier, businesses planning for consumer confidence to go off that cliff if we go off it as a country. do you not agree with that prospect? >> well, no. i believe it will -- if nothing happens and there is no agreement, i think there will be a mild, k
businesses are looking ahead, and they're thinking with increased taxes, because of the fiscal cliff, if the worst happens, consumer demand is just going to fall off. they are already ting action today to try to prepare for that eventuality. but the consumer is kind of blankly ignoring this, and confidence is up for really lots of reasons. i mean, the net worth of households has been repaired. about two-thirds of it has come back as house prices rise and stock prices are now double what they...
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if we got the fiscal cliff. gerri: with the defense cuts come if we do over the cliff, it will cost $100 million or over that? >> 137 million. gerri: would this put you into the red? >> it certainly could. we are still looking at obama's health care plan and what it will do to the state budget. the federal strings are tied. i asked the president about this. the federal funds that come down to the state as you may cuts -- we can still have the strength attached to it. it doesn't give leeway to meet your unique circumstances in our state. we are all different. different budgets, different employment rates, different constitutions, different laws. different styles of living and means within our budget. give us some flexibility. gerri: i expect you to be a little bit more upbeat about the fiscal cliff, but i have to tell you, you sound like a lot of people in washington today. concerns over whether these leaders can get together and find common ground and resolve this issue. it would be meaningful to stay like yours
if we got the fiscal cliff. gerri: with the defense cuts come if we do over the cliff, it will cost $100 million or over that? >> 137 million. gerri: would this put you into the red? >> it certainly could. we are still looking at obama's health care plan and what it will do to the state budget. the federal strings are tied. i asked the president about this. the federal funds that come down to the state as you may cuts -- we can still have the strength attached to it. it doesn't give...
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. >> reporter: hurricane sandy's effects on hiring may be short- lived, but experts worry fiscal cliff concerns could result in a new storm brewing for workers looking to land a job in the coming weeks. suzanne pratt, "n.b.r.," new york. >> tom: citi and the financials lead the way higher on wall street, helping the dow top 13,000 again.at but a big drop in apple shares kept the nasdaq fromains.. by the closing bell, the dow was up 82 points, the nasdaq down 23, the s&p added two points. >> susie: investors were also encouraged by news that american workers were very productive this past summer, and that's good news for company profits. productivity increased at its fastest pace in two years, at an annual rate of 2.9% from july through september. that number blows away the initial estimate of 1.9%. erika miller takes a closer look at how technology is helping to boost safety and productivity. >> reporter: three years ago, this long island hospital had a problem: healthcare workers weren't cleaning their hands as often as required. >> 100,000 people die each year in the united states fr
. >> reporter: hurricane sandy's effects on hiring may be short- lived, but experts worry fiscal cliff concerns could result in a new storm brewing for workers looking to land a job in the coming weeks. suzanne pratt, "n.b.r.," new york. >> tom: citi and the financials lead the way higher on wall street, helping the dow top 13,000 again.at but a big drop in apple shares kept the nasdaq fromains.. by the closing bell, the dow was up 82 points, the nasdaq down 23, the...
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fiscal cliff even with the fiscal cliff. dave: you and i agree with it will take to get the economy growing stronger because we are like-minded with that. you don't like the economic policies the president is proposing. dozen there come a time when those economic policies to stifle the economy and strip it up? >> absolutely. when we look back in history 1970s had big growth in government and when you have big spending like we do today you get weaker growth. france for 40 years has grown numb to% real gdp and 8% unemployment. they think it is normal. the good news is america doesn't think it is normal and you have to keep pounding the table that this isn't normal. it is not good. so do i. the only way to get back up to good growth is to cut the size of the government. i still believe we have eight to ten years even on the crazy course we are on right now before we are anything like one of these european countries. this is still an amazingly powerful entrepreneurial place. i am betting on the entrepreneur and even though the g
fiscal cliff even with the fiscal cliff. dave: you and i agree with it will take to get the economy growing stronger because we are like-minded with that. you don't like the economic policies the president is proposing. dozen there come a time when those economic policies to stifle the economy and strip it up? >> absolutely. when we look back in history 1970s had big growth in government and when you have big spending like we do today you get weaker growth. france for 40 years has grown...
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how tumbling over the fiscal cliff could affect the housing recovery. in today's cover story, coffee bean prices are dramaticly lower. why the price of some cups of joe remains the same. plus, a breakdown of the recent jobs data. what sector is still struggling? what you can expect to pay at the gas pump this holiday season. and, this year's literary sensation made for a very merry christmas for workers at a publishing house. first business starts now. you're watching first business: financial news, analysis, and today's investment ideas. good morning. it's monday, december 10th. i'm angela miles. in today's first look: traders are watching for a santa claus rally, but it's not happening for tech yet. on friday the dow finished off a 3-session winning streak, but the nasdaq lost more ground as apple continues to sink tech stocks. gold rallied above $1,700 an ounce, while oil pulled back. aig reports its losses from damage and destruction caused by superstorm sandy will be $1.3 billion. it's green monday. the second monday in december is considered a cri
how tumbling over the fiscal cliff could affect the housing recovery. in today's cover story, coffee bean prices are dramaticly lower. why the price of some cups of joe remains the same. plus, a breakdown of the recent jobs data. what sector is still struggling? what you can expect to pay at the gas pump this holiday season. and, this year's literary sensation made for a very merry christmas for workers at a publishing house. first business starts now. you're watching first business: financial...
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i think this is all fiscal cliff and tax related selling here. i don't think it's core, that rumor that because they moved up margins -- >> what do you do? your brother says stay away. >> i think he's right. you don't add to it until the final weeks of december. >> he didn't say stay away. >> did he say buy it? >> he said own it. >> if he thinks it's going up. >> if he loves it so much, why don't you buy more here? absolutely. on november 16th the stock rallied, took a little bit off, and i still believe on a tact tactical basis that's the right move, at least for me. longer-term time frame it is generational. it looks most like a bond. it's a bond-friendly type of asset. that's why i want to own it. now, john and pete are talking about what potentially could turn it. you have to look forward into the earnings season and understand the potential for the number of iphones to be sold to hit 50 million. now, the reason that it was down 9 of 11 weeks, why did that begin? it began on the conversation of iphone five constraints. you wanted to order an
i think this is all fiscal cliff and tax related selling here. i don't think it's core, that rumor that because they moved up margins -- >> what do you do? your brother says stay away. >> i think he's right. you don't add to it until the final weeks of december. >> he didn't say stay away. >> did he say buy it? >> he said own it. >> if he thinks it's going up. >> if he loves it so much, why don't you buy more here? absolutely. on november 16th the stock...
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they see this fiscal cliff at the end of the year. even if it is a bad deal, we will have much stronger growth at the back half. stuart: do they think president obama gets the credit for this? >> they were not really keen on saying that at that very moment. certainly, if we fall off the cliff, it will be the republicans fault. >> i think it will be a bad deal. i do not see serious spending
they see this fiscal cliff at the end of the year. even if it is a bad deal, we will have much stronger growth at the back half. stuart: do they think president obama gets the credit for this? >> they were not really keen on saying that at that very moment. certainly, if we fall off the cliff, it will be the republicans fault. >> i think it will be a bad deal. i do not see serious spending